Week of 12 Oct 2026

Leaderboard

Forecasters who chose to be listed, ranked by skill score. How ranking works is explained below.

Forecasters appear here once they opt in and reach the minimum number of resolved answers. Nobody in this ranking has done both yet.

How ranking works

Skill score: Compares each forecaster's answers with the outcomes. Higher is better.
Who is listed: Forecasters who chose to be listed and have at least 10 resolved answers in the rolling window. Listing is off by default; anyone else has no row or rank.
Ties: Equal scores are ordered by more resolved answers, then by who qualified first. Forecasters equal on all three share a rank.
Period: 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC to 19 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
Corrections: A correction to any question in the period works out the whole ranking again.

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