Forecast the market.
Get scored on the result.
Answer questions about earnings, IPO pricing, and chart moves. When the outcome is known, each answer is scored, and your results build a public record.
Free to use. No deposits and no real-money bets.
Open questions
Every question is public from the moment it opens, and anyone can read it without an account. Its link stays the same after it resolves.
How other forecasters answered stays hidden until you answer.
No published questions yet
Questions appear here once they are published.
The figure on each card comes from the market: the analyst consensus, the filed IPO price range, or the visible chart window.
Scored on accuracy
Your answer is scored against the outcome. Over time, your answers build a track record.
Answer
A chart with the ticker and dates removed, an earnings question, or an IPO about to price. You choose an outcome and can say how confident you are.
Get scored
When the outcome is known, your answer gets a score from 0 to 100 and points to match. Confidence is saved for your record, not scored.
Build a record
Each answer adds to your calibration curve. It shows whether answers you gave at 70% confidence were right about 70% of the time. Tiers run from Novice to Master. With a public profile, anyone can check your record.
Measuring calibration
A well-calibrated forecaster's answers at 70% confidence are right about 70% of the time. Many people are less accurate than their confidence suggests, and the gap grows as they feel more certain.
The chart is an illustration, not anyone's real record. The diagonal marks perfect calibration. Below it is overconfidence, the most common pattern. Your record shows where you sit.
See the leaderboardWhere the questions come from
Most are written by the Stockcastr team, based on topics in Aether's finance newsletters.
The rest are proposed by forecasters who have reached the reputation tier required to propose.
Coinstack
Crypto charts: price direction and chart patterns for the major coins.
IPO Stream
Where offerings price against their range, and what drove it.
Sentiment
Sentiment indicators, tested against outcomes.
WhaleTales
Large money flows and moves across asset classes.
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