Answer questions about earnings, IPO pricing, and chart moves. When the outcome is known, each answer is scored, and your results build a public record.
Free to use. No deposits and no real-money bets.
Every question is public from the moment it opens, and anyone can read it without an account. Its link stays the same after it resolves.
How other forecasters answered stays hidden until you answer.
1-hour forecast · Target 17 Oct, 23:00 UTC
Forecast Ethereum's USD price at the target time.
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1-hour forecast · Target 17 Oct, 23:00 UTC
Forecast Bitcoin's USD price at the target time.
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10-minute forecast · Target 17 Oct, 21:30 UTC
Forecast Bitcoin's USD price at the target time.
Market preview loads when visible.
30-minute forecast · Target 17 Oct, 22:00 UTC
Forecast Ethereum's USD price at the target time.
Market preview loads when visible.
5-minute forecast · Target 17 Oct, 21:25 UTC
Forecast Ethereum's USD price at the target time.
Market preview loads when visible.
The figure on each card comes from the market: the analyst consensus, the filed IPO price range, or the visible chart window.
Your answer is scored against the outcome. Over time, your answers build a track record.
A chart with the ticker and dates removed, an earnings question, or an IPO about to price. You choose an outcome and say how sure you are, from 0 to 100%.
When the outcome is known, your answer gets a score from 0 to 100 and points to match. How sure you said you were is saved for your record, not scored.
Each answer adds to your calibration curve: whether the answers you gave at 70% sure were right about 70% of the time. Tiers run from Novice to Master. With a public profile, anyone can check your record.
When you say you're 70% sure, are you right 70% of the time? Many people are right less often than they feel they will be, and the gap grows as they feel more certain.
The chart is an illustration, not anyone's real record. On the diagonal, how sure you said you were matches how often you were right. Below it is overconfidence, the most common pattern. Your record shows where you sit.
See the leaderboardThe Stockcastr team writes them, based on topics in Aether's finance newsletters.
Crypto charts: price direction and chart patterns for the major coins.
Where offerings price against their range, and what drove it.
Sentiment indicators, tested against outcomes.
Large money flows and moves across asset classes.
Sign-up is free and there is no waitlist. Choose a question, give your answer, and get scored when the outcome is known.
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